California Institute of Technology
- Professor of Economics and Political Science, 2012–present
- Associate Professor of Economics and Political Science, 2011–2012
- Assistant Professor of Economics and Political Science, 2008–2011
National Bureau of Economic Research
- Faculty Research Fellow, 2011–present
- Instructor, 2005–2007
- Ph.D. in Business Administration, Stanford University, 2003–2008
- S.B. in Physics, S.B. in Mathematics, minor in Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1995–1999
- Diploma, Lowell High School, San Francisco, California, 1991–1995
Research in Refereed Journals (go to my research page for more details)
- Overconfidence in Political Behavior (with Pietro Ortoleva) American Economic Review, Forthcoming.
- Mecro-Economic Voting: Local Information and Micro-Perceptions of the Macro-Economy (with Steve Ansolabehere and Marc Meredith) Economics & Politics, Forthcoming.
- Asking About Numbers: Why and How (with Steve Ansolabehere and Marc Meredith) Political Analysis, 2013, 21(1): 48–69.
- Selective Trials: A Principal-Agent Approach to Randomized Controlled Experiments (with Sylvain Chassang and Gerard Padró-i-Miquel) American Economic Review, 2012, 102(4): 1279–1309.
- The Lesser Evil: Executive Accountability with Partisan Supporters (with Gerard Padró-i-Miquel) Journal of Theoretical Politics, 2012, 24(1): 19–45.
- Even if it is not Bribery: The Case for Campaign Finance Reform (with Brendan Daley) Journal of Law, Economics and Organization, 2011, 27(2): 324–349.
- Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions? (with Justin Wolfers) Journal of Political Economy, 2010, 118(4): 723–746.
- The Promise of Prediction Markets (with 21 coauthors) Science, 2008, 320(5878): 877–878.
- Party Influence in Congress and the Economy (with Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz) Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 2007, 2(3): 277–286.
- Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections (with Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz) Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2007, 122(2): 807–829.
- Television and the Incumbency Advantage in U.S. Elections (with Steve Ansolabehere and Jim Snyder) Legislative Studies Quarterly, 2006, 31(4): 469–490.
- Unrepresentative Information: The Case of Newspaper Reporting on Campaign Finance (with Steve Ansolabehere and Jim Snyder) Public Opinion Quarterly, 2005, 69(2): 213–231.
Research in Collected Volumes (go to my research page for more details)
- Discussion of Boone et al. "The Political Economy of Discretionary Spending: Evidence from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act" Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Spring, 2014.
- Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting (with Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz) Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Graham Elliott and Allan Timmermann, Editors. Elsevier, 2013.
- How Prediction Markets can Save Event Studies (with Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz) Prediction Markets, Leighton Vaughn Williams, Editor. Routledge, 2011.
- Sociotropic Voting and the Media (with Steve Ansolabehere and Marc Meredith) Improving Public Opinion Surveys: Interdisciplinary Innovation and the American National Election Survey, John H. Aldrich and Kathleen M. McGraw, Editors. Princeton University Press, 2012.
- Examining Explanations of a Market Anomaly: Preferences or Perceptions? (with Justin Wolfers) Handbooks in Finance: Handbook of Sports and Lottery Markets, William Ziemba and Donald Hausch, Editors. Elsevier, 2008.
- Prediction Markets: From Politics to Business (and Back) (with Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz) Handbooks in Finance: Handbook of Sports and Lottery Markets, William Ziemba and Donald Hausch, Editors. Elsevier, 2008
- Information (In)Efficiency in Prediction Markets (with Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz) Information Efficiency in Betting Markets, Leighton Vaughn Williams, Editor. Cambridge University Press, 2005.
Working Papers (go to my research page for more details)
- The Right Type of Legislator (with Andrea Mattozzi)
- The 2008 Presidential Primaries through the Lens of Prediction Markets (with Neil Malhotra)
- Carrots and Sticks: Punishment and Party Power in Congress